Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
Market Rules
This market aims to predict whether Mike Johnson will continue to serve as the Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives through 23:59 ET on the day of the 2026 U.S. congressional elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026. If Johnson ceases to hold the position for any reason before this date — including (but not restricted to) resignation, removal, replacement through a House vote, or departure from Congress — this market will resolve to "No."
Verification will rely on official records from the US House of Representatives, announcements from the Speaker’s office, and reputable media sources. Temporary absences, such as medical leave or interim delegation of duties, will not affect the market’s resolution unless they result in Johnson permanently losing the Speakership.
If the House votes in favor of replacing Johnson as Speaker before the 2026 elections, the market will resolve as "No", even if he remains in Congress.