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Arctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2026? Yes: real money 84%, play money 83% No: real money 16%, play money 17% Volume: real money 112.19444913, play money 12561.58724918 Bettors: real money 8, play money 13 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 221.8600438, play 64109.67592288 Bettors: real 8, play 17 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 23% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 69% Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142272) Volume: real 356.73290622, play 38357.3752922 Bettors: real 13, play 84 Leading (real money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 75% Leading (play money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 34% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 212.83978154, play 12350.5851826 Bettors: real 23, play 58 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 43% Leading (play money): Greater than 4.21 mm 76% Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142271) Volume: real 580.26599836, play 82713.65614915 Bettors: real 29, play 191 Leading (real money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 84% Leading (play money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 90%

Arctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2026?

Market Rules

Arctic sea ice reaches its minimum extension each September.

If the data displayed by NASA at https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/arctic-sea-ice/

on October 2026 indicates that the annual September minimum Arctic sea ice extent was lower than that observed in 2025, this market will resolve to “Yes".

Futuur will only take into account the data as available by early October 2026. Possible future revisions of the figures will not alter the resolution of the market.

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