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María Corina Machado arrested in 2026? Yes: real money 11%, play money 5% No: real money 89%, play money 95% Volume: real money 220.15827704, play money 31060.9984 Bettors: real money 5, play money 1 Categories: Politics, Latin America, Venezuela Related markets Bernardo Arévalo to finish his presidential term in Guatemala? (ID: 179586) Volume: real 226.07365839, play 11444.01428295 Bettors: real 9, play 13 Leading (real money): Bernardo Arévalo to finish his presidential term in Guatemala? 80% Leading (play money): Bernardo Arévalo to finish his presidential term in Guatemala? 77% Delcy Rodríguez out as president of Venezuela by ...? (ID: 232587) Volume: real 502.93043275, play 48445.09853395 Bettors: real 13, play 7 Leading (real money): December 31 27% Leading (play money): December 31 31%

María Corina Machado arrested in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Venezuelan political leader María Corina Machado will be arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, an arrest means physical detention by authorities with intent to hold in custody. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or records from Venezuelan authorities or other competent law enforcement bodies.

If María Corina Machado is physically detained under arrest during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary questioning or harassment without arrest will not count. If official documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations or statements from Machado or her representatives. Resolution will reflect whether an arrest occurred, not subsequent legal outcomes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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