Will the Brent oil barrel spot price fall below 36 USD in 2026?
Market Rules
This event predicts whether the daily spot price of Brent crude oil will close below USD 36.00 on at least one trading day between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) published daily Brent spot price.
If the EIA publishes a daily closing Brent spot price below USD 36.00 during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the EIA omits a daily value, alternative reputable sources cited by the EIA may be used as substitutes. Intraday price movements or unofficial quotes will not count. If official price data is ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major energy market data providers. Resolution will reflect the published daily closing price, not intraday ticks. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.