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Will another French PM be appointed by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 43%, play money 51% No: real money 57%, play money 49% Volume: real money 311.80638667, play money 28792.924582 Bettors: real money 6, play money 7 Categories: Politics, Europe, France Related markets Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? (ID: 185188) Volume: real 1034.87092616, play 59571.11212466 Bettors: real 17, play 81 Leading (real money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 98% Leading (play money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 85% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6536.79584312, play 940200.72299779 Bettors: real 100, play 1867 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 95% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 91% Gustavo Petro to finish his presidential term in Colombia? (ID: 157180) Volume: real 269.51319086, play 15760.02618173 Bettors: real 6, play 22 Leading (real money): Gustavo Petro to finish his presidential term in Colombia? 94% Leading (play money): Gustavo Petro to finish his presidential term in Colombia? 89% Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? (ID: 173409) Volume: real 293.56069641, play 17571.01662699 Bettors: real 17, play 40 Leading (real money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 90% Leading (play money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 82%

Will another French PM be appointed by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether a new individual will be officially appointed as Prime Minister of France at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, appointment means a formal presidential appointment recorded in the Journal Officiel de la République Française (JORF). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the JORF or official presidential announcements.

If a new Prime Minister of France is officially appointed during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary delegations of duties or acting arrangements will not count. If official publications are delayed or ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major French news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive appointment of a new Prime Minister, not interim arrangements. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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