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Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 25%, play money 25% No: real money 75%, play money 75% Volume: real money 200.16033313, play money 20000 Bettors: real money 4, play money 0 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Turkey Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.90855693, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 22, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 3705.61283379, play 499600.25621392 Bettors: real 97, play 141 Leading (real money): Lula 58% Leading (play money): Lula 44% Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? (ID: 215103) Volume: real 1807.60614471, play 103548.00377593 Bettors: real 26, play 89 Leading (real money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 5% Leading (play money): Will Tarcísio de Freitas run for President of Brazil in 2026? 3% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1706.75811229, play 78183.39731344 Bettors: real 18, play 111 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 71% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 74%

Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Ekrem İmamoğlu will be released from jail at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, leaving jail means no longer being physically incarcerated under state custody. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or records from Turkish judicial or penitentiary authorities.

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is officially released from jail during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary leaves, hospital transfers, or house arrest that maintain custodial status will not count as release. If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Turkish or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive release from incarceration, not temporary or custodial changes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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