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Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 25%, play money 25% No: real money 75%, play money 75% Volume: real money 200.24049547, play money 20131.67894737 Bettors: real money 5, play money 4 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Turkey Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2045.00877596, play 37932.49135976 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 8390.39557007, play 774244.19073969 Bettors: real 122, play 209 Leading (real money): Lula 63% Leading (play money): Lula 98% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1292.98895194, play 40999.49399825 Bettors: real 17, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 17% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 43% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 117617.43955531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 2149.32584024, play 84099.5921376 Bettors: real 20, play 117 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 46% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 74%

Will Ekrem Imamoglu leave jail by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Ekrem İmamoğlu will be released from jail at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, leaving jail means no longer being physically incarcerated under state custody. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or records from Turkish judicial or penitentiary authorities.

If Ekrem İmamoğlu is officially released from jail during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary leaves, hospital transfers, or house arrest that maintain custodial status will not count as release. If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Turkish or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive release from incarceration, not temporary or custodial changes. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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