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Ukraine to concede formal autonomy to the Donbas region in 2026? Yes: real money 17%, play money 17% No: real money 83%, play money 83% Volume: real money 201.15622925, play money 20100.0011 Bettors: real money 5, play money 1 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Global Conflicts, Ukraine Related markets Which countries will join NATO as members in 2026? (ID: 231764) Volume: real 250.35345036, play 22259.9943 Bettors: real 12, play 10 Leading (real money): Ukraine 7% Leading (play money): Ukraine 8% Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026? (ID: 231616) Volume: real 357.81773429, play 38717.51805294 Bettors: real 12, play 32 Leading (real money): Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026? 76% Leading (play money): Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026? 77% End of US military operation in Iran by ...? (ID: 237495) Volume: real 943.49089847, play 35956.56812966 Bettors: real 23, play 17 Leading (real money): June 30 60% Leading (play money): June 30 84%

Ukraine to concede formal autonomy to the Donbas region in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Ukraine will formally grant constitutional or legal autonomy to the Donbas region at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Ukrainian constitutional amendments or laws establishing autonomy for the Donbas region.

If Ukraine formally enacts constitutional or legal measures granting autonomy to the Donbas region during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If autonomy is granted only to part of the Donbas region, Futuur may use its discretion to determine whether this constitutes effective autonomy. If official legal texts are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Ukrainian or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive legal autonomy, not negotiations or proposals. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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