Markets
Leaderboard
Abiy Ahmed still Prime Minister of Ethiopia through the 2026 elections? Yes: real money 88%, play money 86% No: real money 12%, play money 14% Volume: real money 210.15027904, play money 20112.38773474 Bettors: real money 5, play money 2 Categories: Politics, Africa Related markets Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? (ID: 185188) Volume: real 1034.87092616, play 59571.11212466 Bettors: real 17, play 81 Leading (real money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 98% Leading (play money): Javier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina? 85% Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? (ID: 173409) Volume: real 293.56069641, play 17571.01662699 Bettors: real 17, play 40 Leading (real money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 90% Leading (play money): Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France? 82% Lula to finish his presidential term? (ID: 166905) Volume: real 6536.79584312, play 940200.72299779 Bettors: real 100, play 1867 Leading (real money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 95% Leading (play money): Lula to finish his presidential term? 91% Gustavo Petro to finish his presidential term in Colombia? (ID: 157180) Volume: real 269.51319086, play 15760.02618173 Bettors: real 6, play 22 Leading (real money): Gustavo Petro to finish his presidential term in Colombia? 94% Leading (play money): Gustavo Petro to finish his presidential term in Colombia? 89% When will the Eco currency start being used in the ECOWAS? (ID: 136730) Volume: real 39.89988, play 5124.92005143 Bettors: real 0, play 20 Leading (real money): 2026 — Leading (play money): Not before 2028 58%

Abiy Ahmed still Prime Minister of Ethiopia through the 2026 elections?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Abiy Ahmed will remain in office as Prime Minister of Ethiopia through Ethiopia’s national elections expected to take place in June 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Ethiopian government communications and announcements by Ethiopia’s National Election Board confirming the prime minister and the official election date.

If Abiy Ahmed remains Prime Minister of Ethiopia through the official 2026 election day, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary absences due to health or other reasons will not affect resolution as long as he officially retains the position of Prime Minister. If official sources are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive officeholding, not minor technicalities. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets