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Winner of Louisiana's Senate Republican primary Julia Letlow: real money 83%, play money 76% John Fleming: real money 16%, play money 12% Bill Cassidy: real money 11%, play money 12% Volume: real money 335.0215184, play money 23439.51235512 Bettors: real money 19, play money 8 Categories: Politics, USA, 2026 Elections Related markets Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 3705.61283379, play 499600.25621392 Bettors: real 97, play 141 Leading (real money): Lula 58% Leading (play money): Lula 44% Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? (ID: 161037) Volume: real 2000.85644531, play 254958.26429136 Bettors: real 42, play 548 Leading (real money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026? 20%

Winner of Louisiana's Senate Republican primary

Market Rules

This event predicts who will win the Republican primary for the United States Senate election in Louisiana, scheduled for May 16, 2026.The market corresponding to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary will resolve to "Yes". If no candidate receives enough votes to win outright, this event will resolve based on the official winner of the runoff election.

The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the State of Louisiana. If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data. Resolution will be based on the officially recognized winner, not projections, concession speeches, or preliminary returns.

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