US Core PCE inflation (month-over-month) — July 2026
-0.2% or less: real money 1%, play money 3%
-0.10%: real money 1%, play money 5%
0.00%: real money 1%, play money 17%
0.10%: real money 4%, play money 12%
0.20%: real money 66%, play money 31%
0.30%: real money 27%, play money 24%
0.4% or more: real money 1%, play money 4%
Volume: real money 1098.15907393, play money 0
Bettors: real money 16, play money 0
Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation
Related markets
What price will Hyperliquid hit in August 2026? (ID: 242626)
Volume: real 1868.81129523, play 89226.59530338
Bettors: real 54, play 24
Leading (real money): Reach $72 99%
Leading (play money): Reach $72 99%
What price will Ethereum hit in August 2026? (ID: 242624)
Volume: real 2467.52178246, play 50829.75755362
Bettors: real 70, play 35
Leading (real money): Reach $2,000 99%
Leading (play money): Reach $2,400 87%
What price will Bitcoin hit in August 2026? (ID: 242622)
Volume: real 2534.73959933, play 48671.10741822
Bettors: real 63, play 26
Leading (real money): Reach $67,500 99%
Leading (play money): Reach $72,500 98%
What price will Solana hit in August 2026? (ID: 242623)
Volume: real 2063.72668426, play 51663.34228267
Bettors: real 49, play 23
Leading (real money): Reach $90 99%
Leading (play money): Reach $90 99%
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362)
Volume: real 1629.54428251, play 36328.18707992
Bettors: real 24, play 118
Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 50%
Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%US Core PCE inflation (month-over-month) — July 2026
Market Rules
Markets in this event resolve according to the month-over-month percentage change in the US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) for July 2026, as first reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (one decimal place) in the Personal Income and Outlays report scheduled for August 26, 2026. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".