How high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Hit 4.8%: real money 62%, play money 62%
Hit 5.0%: real money 23%, play money 20%
Hit 5.2%: real money 11%, play money 11%
Hit 5.5%: real money 7%, play money 7%
Hit 5.7%: real money 5%, play money 5%
Hit 6.0%: real money 3%, play money 3%
Volume: real money 5.31718052, play money 0
Bettors: real money 2, play money 0
Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates
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Market Rules
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the US 10-year Treasury par yield reaches or exceeds the listed value on any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, per the US Department of the Treasury’s "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" dataset. Markets resolve independently — more than one can resolve "Yes".