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Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court John G. Roberts Jr.: real money 19%, play money 4% Clarence Thomas: real money 14%, play money 86% Brett M. Kavanaugh: real money 14%, play money 3% Neil M. Gorsuch: real money 2%, play money 1% Samuel A. Alito Jr.: real money 1%, play money 29% Sonia Sotomayor: real money 1%, play money 3% Elena Kagan: real money 1%, play money 3% Amy Coney Barrett: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 120.63151705, play money 2983.02251088 Bettors: real money 35, play money 22 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 649.46353836, play 68989.89904398 Bettors: real 61, play 77 Leading (real money): Kash Patel 69% Leading (play money): Kash Patel 72% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1249.4330212, play 39981.6221082 Bettors: real 16, play 51 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 19% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 46% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.90855693, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 22, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42%

Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court

Market Rules

This market will be resolved depending on which of the listed justices of the Supreme Court of the United States is the first to create a vacancy on the Court by permanently departing active service for any reason.

If two justices leave at the exact same date, the one with the most advanced age will be considered the first to leave.

Temporary recusals or leaves of absence will not be considered as leaving the Court for the purpose of this market

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