Markets
Leaderboard
USDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026? Yes: real money 4%, play money 13% No: real money 96%, play money 87% Volume: real money 106.8471199, play money 10300.007 Bettors: real money 4, play money 2 Categories: Finance, Crypto, Cryptocurrencies, USDC Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 649.46353836, play 68989.89904398 Bettors: real 61, play 77 Leading (real money): Kash Patel 69% Leading (play money): Kash Patel 72% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.90855693, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 22, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1249.4330212, play 39981.6221082 Bettors: real 16, play 51 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 19% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 46% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

USDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin will lose its peg to the U.S. dollar at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, a depeg means that the market price of 1 USDC falls below $0.99 for a sustained period. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the USDC price data published by CoinGecko.

If CoinGecko data shows that USDC trades below $0.99 at any point during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Brief price deviations that immediately correct may require intent-based assessment by Futuur. If CoinGecko data becomes unavailable or unreliable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on alternative reputable price aggregators. Resolution will reflect the substantive loss of the peg, not momentary anomalies. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

Tags

Related Markets