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USDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026? Yes: real money 4%, play money 13% No: real money 96%, play money 87% Volume: real money 106.8371199, play money 10300.107 Bettors: real money 4, play money 4 Categories: Finance, Crypto, Cryptocurrencies, USDC Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2045.00877596, play 37932.49135976 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1191.27659465, play 132756.26315896 Bettors: real 81, play 105 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1292.98895194, play 40999.49399825 Bettors: real 17, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 17% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 43% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 117617.43955531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3012.83733208, play 138410.80600485 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55%

USDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin will lose its peg to the U.S. dollar at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, a depeg means that the market price of 1 USDC falls below $0.99 for a sustained period. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the USDC price data published by CoinGecko.

If CoinGecko data shows that USDC trades below $0.99 at any point during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Brief price deviations that immediately correct may require intent-based assessment by Futuur. If CoinGecko data becomes unavailable or unreliable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on alternative reputable price aggregators. Resolution will reflect the substantive loss of the peg, not momentary anomalies. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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