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Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 10%, play money 10% No: real money 90%, play money 90% Volume: real money 335.14325407, play money 34880.0121 Bettors: real money 7, play money 6 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Israel Related markets Iran leadership change by...? (ID: 235762) Volume: real 461.63568726, play 44176.9866 Bettors: real 14, play 14 Leading (real money): December 31 41% Leading (play money): December 31 38% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 549.24484714, play 45162.70037 Bettors: real 11, play 19 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 63% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 40% End of US military operation in Iran by ...? (ID: 237495) Volume: real 943.49089847, play 35956.56812966 Bettors: real 23, play 17 Leading (real money): June 30 60% Leading (play money): June 30 84% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 374.72695277, play 33729.11805331 Bettors: real 10, play 25 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 15%

Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Palestine will be admitted as a full member state of the United Nations at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official decision of the United Nations General Assembly admitting Palestine as a full member.

If the UN General Assembly admits Palestine as a full member state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Observer state status or any status short of full membership will not count. If official UN documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive admission outcome, not partial or interim statuses. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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