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Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 10%, play money 10% No: real money 90%, play money 90% Volume: real money 340.71886327, play money 34990.00265834 Bettors: real money 8, play money 9 Categories: Politics, Middle East, Israel Related markets Iran leadership change by...? (ID: 235762) Volume: real 483.95772183, play 45932.12877988 Bettors: real 16, play 20 Leading (real money): December 31 30% Leading (play money): December 31 32% Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? (ID: 231622) Volume: real 556.33238493, play 87032.88298711 Bettors: real 12, play 21 Leading (real money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 68% Leading (play money): Will a US-Iran nuclear control deal be signed in 2026? 59% Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? (ID: 231628) Volume: real 376.50396872, play 34966.10963707 Bettors: real 11, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): Will Iran no longer be an Islamic Republic by the end of 2026? 14% Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? (ID: 231636) Volume: real 237.06926947, play 24017.44717551 Bettors: real 8, play 13 Leading (real money): Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will Iran develop a nuclear bomb by the end of 2026? 12%

Will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Palestine will be admitted as a full member state of the United Nations at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official decision of the United Nations General Assembly admitting Palestine as a full member.

If the UN General Assembly admits Palestine as a full member state during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Observer state status or any status short of full membership will not count. If official UN documentation is unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive admission outcome, not partial or interim statuses. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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