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Will Pedro Sánchez still be Spain's Prime Minister through the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether Pedro Sánchez will remain in office as Prime Minister of Spain through December 31, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Spanish government announcements or records confirming the prime ministership.

If Pedro Sánchez officially remains Prime Minister through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If he is formally replaced before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official replacement, regardless of caretaker periods. If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Spanish or international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive holding of the office, not interim arrangements. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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