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Will the US approve the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine in 2026? Yes: real money 22%, play money 26% No: real money 78%, play money 74% Volume: real money 230.16841712, play money 21000.0053 Bettors: real money 6, play money 5 Categories: Politics, World Politics, Global Conflicts, Ukraine Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.90855693, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 22, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

Will the US approve the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the United States government will formally approve the delivery of Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements or notifications by the U.S. government confirming approval of such a transfer.

If the U.S. government formally approves the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Informal discussions or speculation without formal approval will not count. If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive approval decision, not subsequent delivery timelines. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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