Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026? Yes: real money 11%, play money 10% No: real money 89%, play money 90% Volume: real money 219.75272505, play money 23155.53229814 Bettors: real money 6, play money 6 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026? (ID: 231549) Volume: real 200.24052386, play 20631.68092499 Bettors: real 5, play 4 Leading (real money): Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026? 27% Leading (play money): Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026? 25% Will a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026? (ID: 231689) Volume: real 100.27040849, play 11190.54742136 Bettors: real 5, play 5 Leading (real money): Will a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026? 20% Leading (play money): Will a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026? 16% Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court (ID: 149805) Volume: real 124.4075263, play 3621.95879888 Bettors: real 40, play 46 Leading (real money): Clarence Thomas 21% Leading (play money): Clarence Thomas 68% Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? (ID: 231592) Volume: real 110.26247237, play 11600.0915 Bettors: real 6, play 7 Leading (real money): Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? 17% Leading (play money): Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026? 17%

Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether binding term limits for justices of the Supreme Court of the United States will be enacted at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be enacted federal legislation or constitutional amendments establishing such limits.

If binding term limits for Supreme Court justices are enacted during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Term limits applying only to future justices, and not affecting current justices, will still count as "Yes". If official legal texts are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. legal or national news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive enactment of term limits, not proposals or debate. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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