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Drop in Mexico’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026? Yes: real money 24%, play money 25% No: real money 76%, play money 75% Volume: real money 15.15695286, play money 100.1038 Bettors: real money 8, play money 3 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Mexico Related markets Will Mexico and _____ resume diplomatic relations in 2026? (ID: 231747) Volume: real 570.20101317, play 79462.9001258 Bettors: real 13, play 15 Leading (real money): Peru 99% Leading (play money): Peru 99% Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? (ID: 232194) Volume: real 63.59501186, play 16865.72161544 Bettors: real 8, play 12 Leading (real money): Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? 93% Leading (play money): Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? 97% MSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231734) Volume: real 11.20204594, play 100.399 Bettors: real 22, play 9 Leading (real money): Between 10% and 20% 40% Leading (play money): Between 10% and 20% 39% MSCI World Index performance in 2026 (ID: 231735) Volume: real 6.29780187, play 2500.4021 Bettors: real 21, play 10 Leading (real money): Between 5% and 10% 32% Leading (play money): Between 5% and 10% 34% Will the US strike Mexico by ...? (ID: 234471) Volume: real 116.49263945, play 5328.92387499 Bettors: real 10, play 9 Leading (real money): December 31 12% Leading (play money): December 31 21%

Drop in Mexico’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether S&P Global Ratings will downgrade Mexico’s long-term sovereign credit rating at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official rating action announcements published by S&P.

If S&P formally lowers Mexico’s long-term sovereign rating level during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Outlook changes or credit watch placements without a downgrade of the rating level will not count. If official rating announcements are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major financial news organizations. Resolution will reflect the substantive rating-level change, not outlook adjustments. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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