Will any Marvel movie surpass $1 Billion at the box office in 2026?

This event predicts whether any movie released as part of Marvel Studios’ film slate during 2026 will surpass USD 1 billion in worldwide box office revenue by the end of the year. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the worldwide box office totals published by Box Office Mojo.

If Box Office Mojo reports that at least one Marvel movie released in 2026 earned more than USD 1 billion in worldwide box office revenue, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Re-releases or cumulative totals including prior years will not count. If box office reporting is ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major entertainment industry publications. Resolution will reflect verified worldwide box office totals, not projections. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.