Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026 Less than 1.4%: real money 2%, play money 2% 1.4% to 1.6%: real money 6%, play money 5% 1.7% to 1.9%: real money 18%, play money 35% 2.0% to 2.2%: real money 37%, play money 40% 2.3% to 2.5%: real money 22%, play money 15% 2.6% to 2.9%: real money 17%, play money 2% 3.0% or more: real money 10%, play money 2% Volume: real money 592.04235707, play money 15033.42258493 Bettors: real money 39, play money 9 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets US inflation rate in June (month-over-month CPI) (ID: 239696) Volume: real 2899.50153591, play 54102.7150116 Bettors: real 22, play 20 Leading (real money): Less than 0.2% 78% Leading (play money): Between 0.2 and 0.4% 37% Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 362.46732015, play 34620.26262878 Bettors: real 13, play 23 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 9% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 553.14956867, play 10297.4 Bettors: real 31, play 19 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 28% Leading (play money): 3.25% 45% Will the US control Greenland in 2026? (ID: 231573) Volume: real 268.52955627, play 31724.04515524 Bettors: real 11, play 19 Leading (real money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 11% Leading (play money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 19% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 560.2278451, play 30562.79655885 Bettors: real 16, play 33 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 15% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 9%

Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026

Market Rules

This event refers to the annual inflation rate for the euro area in 2026, defined as the percentage change over the 12 months ending in December 2026 compared to the same period ending in December 2025. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank (ECB), based on Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data produced by Eurostat. Resolution will use the first official figure for December 2026 as published or cited by the ECB, rounded to one decimal place using standard rounding rules.

If the ECB publication is delayed, unclear, or unavailable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same HICP figure from Eurostat releases or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg. The markets will resolve according to the substantive inflation outcome implied by the data and market intent, not minor technical or formatting changes in the source. Subsequent data revisions after the initial publication will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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