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Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026 Less than 1.4%: real money 2%, play money 2% 1.4% to 1.6%: real money 6%, play money 5% 1.7% to 1.9%: real money 18%, play money 35% 2.0% to 2.2%: real money 37%, play money 39% 2.3% to 2.5%: real money 22%, play money 15% 2.6% to 2.9%: real money 14%, play money 2% 3.0% or more: real money 10%, play money 2% Volume: real money 591.55599554, play money 14535.71758571 Bettors: real money 39, play money 2 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 362.40725228, play 33309.7901 Bettors: real 13, play 19 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026? (ID: 216199) Volume: real 166.99647398, play 24969.99470636 Bettors: real 8, play 12 Leading (real money): Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026? 14% Leading (play money): Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026? 18% Will the US control Greenland in 2026? (ID: 231573) Volume: real 253.86670758, play 30000.0136 Bettors: real 10, play 14 Leading (real money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 21% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 320.40247321, play 27704.82011913 Bettors: real 11, play 31 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 30% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 16%

Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026

Market Rules

This event refers to the annual inflation rate for the euro area in 2026, defined as the percentage change over the 12 months ending in December 2026 compared to the same period ending in December 2025. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank (ECB), based on Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data produced by Eurostat. Resolution will use the first official figure for December 2026 as published or cited by the ECB, rounded to one decimal place using standard rounding rules.

If the ECB publication is delayed, unclear, or unavailable, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same HICP figure from Eurostat releases or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg. The markets will resolve according to the substantive inflation outcome implied by the data and market intent, not minor technical or formatting changes in the source. Subsequent data revisions after the initial publication will not affect the market’s resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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