US basic interest rate at the end of 2026
Market Rules
This event predicts the target federal funds rate set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) for the United States at the end of 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the Federal Reserve, using official FOMC statements and releases published on federalreserve.gov. Because the Federal Reserve typically sets a target range rather than a single rate, resolution will be based on the lower bound of the target range in effect at the end of December 31, 2026.
If the FOMC holds emergency or unscheduled meetings after its last regular meeting of the year, the markets will resolve based on the final target range in effect as of December 31, 2026, even if announced after the trading deadline. If the Federal Reserve changes how it sets or communicates the policy rate, Futuur will use the most comparable official figure to determine resolution. The markets will resolve according to the substantive policy outcome and market intent, not minor wording or formatting differences. Subsequent clarifications or revisions will not affect the resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.