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Will the US PCE annual inflation be greater than 3.5% in April? Yes: real money 29%, play money 38% No: real money 71%, play money 62% Volume: real money 286.55539742, play money 20000 Bettors: real money 3, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 649.46353836, play 68989.89904398 Bettors: real 61, play 77 Leading (real money): Kash Patel 69% Leading (play money): Kash Patel 72% Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2044.90855693, play 35762.14306169 Bettors: real 22, play 81 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 42% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1249.4330212, play 39981.6221082 Bettors: real 16, play 51 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 19% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 46% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2608.60104832, play 114652.95944582 Bettors: real 39, play 210 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 94% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 74% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3007.08647864, play 136868.79585516 Bettors: real 30, play 208 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 8% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 57%

Will the US PCE annual inflation be greater than 3.5% in April?

Market Rules

This market aims to predict whether the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for April 2026 will grow by more than 3.5% year over year (i.e., in comparison to April 2025).

This market will be resolved according to the PCE Index report scheduled to be released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on May 28, 2026. This market will be resolved based on the number originally released by BEA, and will not be impacted by subsequent adjustments. If the BEA changes its method for calculating the PCE Index, Futuur will use its discretion to determine the most comparable figure for resolution.

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