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What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026? Below -20 percentage points: real money 13%, play money 13% Between -20 and -15.1 percentage points: real money 50%, play money 50% Between -15 and -10.1 percentage points: real money 22%, play money 22% Between -10 and -5.1 percentage points: real money 10%, play money 10% -5 percentage points or higher: real money 5%, play money 5% Volume: real money 100.37052511, play money 10098.43831651 Bettors: real money 8, play money 9 Categories: Politics, USA, White House, Approval Rates Related markets Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 117480.45119066 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? (ID: 133863) Volume: real 1585.53526888, play 239086.56612449 Bettors: real 35, play 510 Leading (real money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 9%

What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts Donald Trump's net approval rating on December 31, 2026, according to the Silver Bulletin polling average. Net approval is calculated as approval percentage minus disapproval percentage, in percentage points. Each linked market below corresponds to one mutually exclusive range; exactly one market will resolve to "Yes".

The Primary Designated Source is the Silver Bulletin presidential approval tracker at natesilver.net (or the successor URL maintained by Silver Bulletin / Nate Silver). Resolution uses the first value displayed by the tracker for the date 2026-12-31 (UTC); subsequent revisions due to lagging polls do not affect resolution. If Silver Bulletin is unavailable, ceases publication, or does not display a value for 2026-12-31, all linked markets resolve based on a substitute source per Futuur editorial policy (e.g., RealClearPolling, 538 successor, or Polymarket Data) for the same date.

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