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How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026? 14 or fewer: real money 5%, play money 1% Between 15 and 17 (inclusive): real money 7%, play money 2% Between 18 and 22 (inclusive): real money 34%, play money 37% Between 23 and 27 (inclusive): real money 38%, play money 42% 28 or more: real money 15%, play money 17% Volume: real money 37.47117332, play money 112497.38858856 Bettors: real money 11, play money 13 Categories: Politics, Europe, Montenegro Related markets China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? (ID: 133863) Volume: real 1711.95573343, play 248684.5794556 Bettors: real 35, play 510 Leading (real money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 8% Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 4823.17956415, play 106525.56536451 Bettors: real 68, play 66 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026? (ID: 239444) Volume: real 3275.82219673, play 22673.3800442 Bettors: real 37, play 39 Leading (real money): Between $ 60,000 and $ 74,999.99 39% Leading (play money): Between $ 60,000 and $ 74,999.99 28% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 560.53543016, play 52232.01459531 Bettors: real 19, play 38 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 10% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 3%

How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts the total number of European Union (EU) accession negotiating chapters that Montenegro will have provisionally closed by December 31, 2026 23:59:59 UTC. Montenegro's accession negotiations cover 33 chapters under the EU acquis. Each market below corresponds to one count range; exactly one will resolve "Yes".

The Primary Designated Source is the European Commission's Directorate-General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations (DG NEAR) — specifically the official Montenegro accession status page and the EU Council's reports on Montenegro's accession.

Chapters that are temporarily closed, re-opened, or under interim benchmarks do not count as closed. Chapters 34 (Institutions) and 35 (Other Issues) do not count for the purposes of this event.

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