US inflation rate in June (year-over-year CPI) Less than 4.1%: real money 82%, play money 24% Between 4.1 and 4,4%: real money 20%, play money 42% More than 4.4%: real money 9%, play money 46% Volume: real money 1438.47103551, play money 21024.09830336 Bettors: real money 22, play money 12 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Inflation Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2045.00877596, play 37932.49135976 Bettors: real 23, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 46% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1191.27659465, play 132756.26315896 Bettors: real 81, play 105 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1292.98895194, play 40999.49399825 Bettors: real 17, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 17% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 43% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2609.88778546, play 117617.43955531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3012.83733208, play 138410.80600485 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 55%

US inflation rate in June (year-over-year CPI)

Market Rules

This event predicts the United States CPI inflation rate for June 2026 measured as the annual percent change in CPI-U (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers), before seasonal adjustment, from June 2025 to June 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Consumer Price Index news release and associated CPI tables for June 2026, including the value reported as “12-month percent change, not seasonally adjusted” for CPI-U.

If the BLS changes its CPI presentation or table structure before publishing the June 2026 data, Futuur will select the most directly comparable CPI-U year-over-year, not seasonally adjusted, percent-change figure consistent with the intent of the markets. The markets will be resolved using the initially published figure at release time (not later revisions). Resolution will prioritize the substantive economic outcome and market intent over minor technicalities in formatting or presentation, and Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation if a fair determination becomes impossible.

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