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European Central Bank interest rate decision in July Maintain the same rate: real money 97%, play money 85% Lower by 0.25% or more: real money 5%, play money 5% Rise by 0.5% or more: real money 4%, play money 2% Rise by 0.25% or more: real money 3%, play money 8% Volume: real money 431.18995086, play money 6247.5 Bettors: real money 16, play money 11 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 362.46732015, play 34620.26262878 Bettors: real 13, play 23 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 9% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 553.14956867, play 10297.4 Bettors: real 31, play 19 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 28% Leading (play money): 3.25% 45% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1463.13371921, play 36349.77330934 Bettors: real 61, play 28 Leading (real money): 0 69% Leading (play money): 0 71% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 560.2278451, play 30562.79655885 Bettors: real 16, play 33 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 15% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 9%

European Central Bank interest rate decision in July

Market Rules

This event predicts the decision taken by the European Central Bank (ECB) regarding the next target level of the Eurozone deposit facility interest rate. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank, using the official bank rate history and monetary policy decisions published on the ECB’s website. The relevant decision is the one announced following the ECB’s scheduled monetary policy meeting on July 22 and 23, 2026.

If the ECB’s publication is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from official ECB communications or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations citing ECB data. The markets will be resolved according to the substantive policy decision and market intent, not minor technicalities of presentation or wording; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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