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Banxico interest rate decision in August Lower the rate: real money 11%, play money 11% Maintain the same rate: real money 88%, play money 70% Increase the rate: real money 5%, play money 19% Volume: real money 579.45583956, play money 7154.92984854 Bettors: real money 9, play money 3 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Mexico Related markets Next target for the US interest rate (July) (ID: 239820) Volume: real 742.22310532, play 17142.35705159 Bettors: real 17, play 15 Leading (real money): Maintain the same rate 84% Leading (play money): Maintain the same rate 66% Next target for the Bank of Japan’s interest rate (July) (ID: 239817) Volume: real 626.03624034, play 25557.23945827 Bettors: real 15, play 13 Leading (real money): Maintain the same rate 98% Leading (play money): Maintain the same rate 95% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 553.14956867, play 10297.4 Bettors: real 31, play 19 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 28% Leading (play money): 3.25% 45% US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 424.08558095, play 16789.48124696 Bettors: real 32, play 16 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 63% Leading (play money): 3.00%-3.24% 22% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1463.13371921, play 36349.77330934 Bettors: real 61, play 28 Leading (real money): 0 69% Leading (play money): 0 71%

Banxico interest rate decision in August

Market Rules

This set of markets will resolve based on the target level of the Banco de México (Banxico) policy interest rate decided at its monetary policy meeting scheduled for August 6, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is Banxico’s official monetary policy statement and accompanying materials published after the conclusion of the meeting, which specify the new target rate.

If Banxico’s official publication is delayed, unclear, or internally inconsistent, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from highly reputable financial news organizations reporting Banxico’s announced decision. Resolution will be based on the substantive policy decision and the intent of the market, not on minor technicalities of wording or formatting. If a clear determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel the market with a public explanation.

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