MST land invasions by the end of Lula’s term More than 180: real money 57%, play money 41% Between 140 and 180: real money 50%, play money 12% Between 60 and 100: real money 5%, play money 4% More than 100, less than 140: real money 5%, play money 4% Less than 60: real money 3%, play money 33% Volume: real money 209.57896572, play money 19156.73 Bettors: real money 33, play money 76 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Scandals Related markets Arrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026? (ID: 231548) Volume: real 208.51722965, play 22299.9911 Bettors: real 7, play 3 Leading (real money): Arrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026? 18% Leading (play money): Arrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026? 17% Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026? (ID: 231687) Volume: real 243.90599191, play 24710.0125 Bettors: real 10, play 9 Leading (real money): Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026? 27% Leading (play money): Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026? 25% Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026? (ID: 231750) Volume: real 100.5803685, play 10600.0082 Bettors: real 12, play 3 Leading (real money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% Leading (play money): Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva) 92% PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? (ID: 203256) Volume: real 169.03325676, play 50745.98196284 Bettors: real 7, play 14 Leading (real money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 7% Leading (play money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 8%

MST land invasions by the end of Lula’s term

Market Rules

The number of land land occupation innitiatives championed by the Landless Workers Movement (MST) in Brazil, which had been gradually decreasing since 2002, grew sensibly since the beginning of Lula’s administration in 2023, to the point that such growth was used as justification for the creation of a parliamentary investigation on the movement.

This market will resolve in favor of the outcome whose range of values contains the correct number of land occupations promoted by MST while Lula da Silva is the sitting president (first term), according to data from the Colonization and Land Reform National Institute (Incra) and other eventually relevant sources of information.

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