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SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? Yes: real money 11%, play money 7% No: real money 89%, play money 93% Volume: real money 834.305523, play money 72986.13881221 Bettors: real money 19, play money 87 Categories: Science, Space Exploration, Moon Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 323.78856749, play 21245.852668 Bettors: real 40, play 30 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? (ID: 202141) Volume: real 138.25693846, play 14240.0204 Bettors: real 6, play 24 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 6% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? 21% Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028? (ID: 112737) Volume: real 309.93990337, play 4684.86053528 Bettors: real 8, play 32 Leading (real money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 81% Leading (play money): Russian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 202 78% SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? (ID: 201462) Volume: real 1126.67787528, play 186418.91011211 Bettors: real 28, play 142 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 17% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 23%

SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?

Market Rules

One of SpaceX's biggest projects is the Starship, a spacecraft that is expected to take crews to the Moon and even Mars in the future. The company hopes to use the vehicle for space tourism, managing to carry up to 100 passengers at a time.

If SpaceX manages to successfully land a manned flight of the Starship on the moon by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"

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  • pedro_brito: Quick clarification: does “successfully land” here mean a soft landing milestone , or overall mission success ? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Asking because in the Roscosmos Moon probe market, “successful” ended up being interpreted as mission success (soft landing) rather than the usual milestone meaning. https://futuur.com/q/112736/will-the-russian-space-agency-send-a-probe-to-the-moon-by-the-end-of-2025 --------------------------------------------------------- @verglasz

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