Will Elon Musk have a Neuralink chip implanted in his own brain by the end of 2029? Yes: real money 18%, play money 27% No: real money 82%, play money 73% Volume: real money 293.97905531, play money 14900.52110109 Bettors: real money 9, play money 18 Categories: Finance, Big Companies, Neuralink Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 323.78856749, play 21245.852668 Bettors: real 40, play 30 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? (ID: 188272) Volume: real 834.305523, play 72986.13881221 Bettors: real 19, play 87 Leading (real money): SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? 11% Leading (play money): SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? 7% SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? (ID: 201462) Volume: real 1126.67787528, play 186418.91011211 Bettors: real 28, play 142 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 17% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 23%

Will Elon Musk have a Neuralink chip implanted in his own brain by the end of 2029?

Market Rules

This market predicts whether Elon Musk, co-founder and key figure behind Neuralink, will personally receive a Neuralink brain-computer interface implant in his own brain on or before December 31, 2029.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following conditions are met:

  1. Elon Musk must undergo a surgical procedure to have a Neuralink brain implant device inserted into his own brain on or before December 31, 2029.
  2. The implantation must be confirmed through at least one of the following: A) official announcement from Neuralink, B) public statement or demonstration by Elon Musk himself, C) medical documentation or imagery clearly showing the implant, or D) consistent reporting from multiple credible news sources with direct evidence
  3. The implant must be a functional Neuralink device intended for ongoing use (even if it's a prototype), not merely a temporary demonstration or non-functional prototype.
  4. The implantation must be performed using Neuralink's technology, not a competing brain-computer interface from another company.
    1. For this market, an "implant" refers to a Neuralink device surgically inserted into Musk's brain tissue or attached to his brain in a manner consistent with Neuralink's clinical approach at the time of the procedure.

      The implant must be a functioning device capable of interfacing with Musk's brain activity.

      If Neuralink merges with or is acquired by another company but the core technology remains substantially the same, an implant from this successor entity would still qualify for a "YES" resolution.

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Comments

  • gorebello: 2029? This is truely excessive 

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